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# Burn Risk - Part 2: Roasted Onion Reaction Flavor Example and How to Determine Each Parameter in the Predictive Model
- URL: https://www.flavorist.com/roasted-onion-reaction-flavor-example-and-how-to-determine-each-parameter-in-the-predictive-model-part-2/
- Published: 2026-03-31T22:24:44.000Z
- Updated: 2026-04-01T02:31:49.000Z
- Author: Editor

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# Roasted Onion Reaction Flavor Example and How to Determine Each Parameter in the Predictive Model

This document gives a detailed reaction flavor example built around a roasted onion or savory sulfur reaction flavor, with a step-by-step explanation of how to determine each parameter used in the burn-risk predictive model.

## 1) Example process

Assume a batch reactor is used to make a roasted onion-type reaction flavor from:

- D-xylose or glucose as reducing sugar
- Cysteine as sulfur precursor
- Methionine or onion-derived sulfur source
- Hydrolyzed vegetable protein or yeast extract
- Water
- Optional pH adjustment with sodium bicarbonate or phosphate buffer

### Example batch composition

- Water: 55 wt%
- Xylose: 8 wt%
- Cysteine: 3 wt%
- Methionine: 1 wt%
- Yeast extract or HVP: 20 wt%
- Salt, buffer, and minors: 13 wt%

### Process conditions

- 300 L stainless jacketed kettle
- Anchor agitator
- Batch size: 240 kg
- Start at 25°C
- Heat to 95°C to dissolve
- Hold 15 min
- Heat to 112–118°C for reaction development
- Final hold 20–40 min depending on profile
- Nitrogen blanket optional

The concern is that onion-like sulfur notes are easily pushed into burnt cabbage, rubber, sulfur-char, bitter roast, and black particles. This makes it a strong case for a quantitative burn-risk model.

## 2) Predictive model structure for this example

Core variables used are \\(T\_b\\), \\(T\_w\\), \\(T\_f\\), \\(q''\\), \\(h\_b\\), \\(k\_m\\), \\(C\_f\\), \\(k\_b\\), \\(E\_b\\), and \\(BI\\).

## 3) How to determine each parameter

### Parameter 1: Bulk temperature, \\(T\_b\\)

**Meaning:** average temperature of the reactor contents.

**How to measure:** use one calibrated RTD or thermocouple in the bulk, preferably two probes at different heights for large vessels. Record every 10–30 seconds.

**Example:** measured bulk temperature during the final stage is 116°C.

\\\[ T\_b = 116 + 273.15 = 389.15\\ \\text{K} \\\]

Bulk temperature is easy to measure, but it does not predict burning by itself.

### Parameter 2: Jacket temperature, \\(T\_j\\)

**Meaning:** effective heating-medium temperature.

**How to get it:** measure steam-jacket condensate temperature, or thermal oil / hot water inlet and outlet.

**Example:** thermal oil inlet = 135°C and outlet = 127°C.

\\\[ T\_j \\approx \\frac{135+127}{2} = 131^\\circ C = 404.15\\ \\text{K} \\\]

### Parameter 3: Overall heat transfer coefficient, \\(U\\)

**Meaning:** overall ability of heat to move from jacket to bulk.

**How to estimate:** use plant heat-up data during nonreactive heating:

\\\[ M C\_p \\frac{dT\_b}{dt} = U A (T\_j - T\_b) \\\]

\\\[ U = \\frac{M C\_p (dT\_b/dt)}{A(T\_j-T\_b)} \\\]

**Example:**

- \\(M = 240\\ kg\\)
- \\(C\_p = 3.6\\ kJ/kg\\cdot K\\)
- \\(A = 3.8\\ m^2\\)
- \\(dT\_b/dt = 0.022\\ K/s\\)
- \\(T\_j - T\_b = 20\\ K\\)

\\\[ U = \\frac{240 \\times 3600 \\times 0.022}{3.8 \\times 20} \\approx 250\\ \\text{W/m}^2\\text{·K} \\\]

### Parameter 4: Heat flux, \\(q''\\)

**Meaning:** heat entering per unit wall area.

\\\[ q'' = U(T\_j - T\_b) \\\]

Using \\(U = 250\\ \\text{W/m}^2\\text{·K}\\) and \\(T\_j-T\_b = 15\\ K\\):

\\\[ q'' = 250 \\times 15 = 3750\\ \\text{W/m}^2 \\\]

### Parameter 5: Process-side heat transfer coefficient, \\(h\_b\\)

**Meaning:** how effectively the bulk liquid removes heat from the process wall.

**Method A:** estimate from a correlation:

\\\[ Nu = \\frac{h\_b D}{k} \\\]

\\\[ Re = \\frac{\\rho N D\_i^2}{\\mu}, \\qquad Pr = \\frac{\\mu C\_p}{k} \\\]

\\\[ Nu = 0.36 Re^{0.67} Pr^{0.33} \\\]

**Example values:**

- \\(\\rho = 1150\\ kg/m^3\\)
- \\(N = 0.8\\ s^{-1}\\)
- \\(D\_i = 0.75\\ m\\)
- \\(\\mu = 0.45\\ Pa\\cdot s\\)
- \\(C\_p = 3600\\ J/kg\\cdot K\\)
- \\(k = 0.42\\ W/m\\cdot K\\)
- \\(D = 1.0\\ m\\)

\\\[ Re = \\frac{1150 \\times 0.8 \\times 0.75^2}{0.45} \\approx 1150 \\\]

\\\[ Pr = \\frac{0.45 \\times 3600}{0.42} \\approx 3857 \\\]

\\\[ Nu \\approx 0.36 \\times 1150^{0.67} \\times 3857^{0.33} \\approx 560 \\\]

\\\[ h\_b = \\frac{Nu \\cdot k}{D} = \\frac{560 \\times 0.42}{1.0} \\approx 235\\ \\text{W/m}^2\\text{·K} \\\]

### Parameter 6: Wall temperature, \\(T\_w\\)

\\\[ q'' = h\_b (T\_w - T\_b) \\\]

\\\[ T\_w = T\_b + \\frac{q''}{h\_b} \\\]

With \\(q'' = 3750\\) and \\(h\_b = 235\\):

\\\[ T\_w = 389.15 + \\frac{3750}{235} = 405.11\\ K \\\]

So:

\\\[ T\_w \\approx 131.96^\\circ C \\\]

### Parameter 7: Film temperature, \\(T\_f\\)

**Meaning:** actual temperature of the fluid layer touching or nearly touching the wall.

A practical shortcut is:

\\\[ T\_f \\approx T\_b + \\phi(T\_w-T\_b) \\\]

For a moderately viscous batch, use \\(\\phi = 0.75\\):

\\\[ T\_f = 116 + 0.75(131.96 - 116) \\approx 127.97^\\circ C \\\]

\\\[ T\_f = 401.12\\ K \\\]

### Parameter 8: Density, \\(\\rho\\)

**How to measure:** pycnometer, density cup, or mass of known volume at process temperature.

**Example:** \\(\\rho = 1150\\ kg/m^3\\).

### Parameter 9: Heat capacity, \\(C\_p\\)

**How to estimate:** DSC, literature, or weighted average from composition. For water-rich savory systems, often 3.2–3.9 kJ/kg·K.

**Example:**

\\\[ C\_p = 3.6\\ kJ/kg\\cdot K \\\]

### Parameter 10: Thermal conductivity, \\(k\\)

**How to estimate:** transient hot-wire method or literature. Typical aqueous systems are 0.4–0.6 W/m·K.

**Example:**

\\\[ k = 0.42\\ W/m\\cdot K \\\]

### Parameter 11: Viscosity, \\(\\mu\\)

**How to measure:** rheometer or Brookfield viscometer at relevant temperatures and solids levels.

**Example:**

- at 95°C, \\(\\mu = 0.18\\ Pa\\cdot s\\)
- at 116°C after reaction thickening, \\(\\mu = 0.45\\ Pa\\cdot s\\)

As viscosity rises, \\(Re\\) drops, \\(h\_b\\) drops, and wall temperature rises.

### Parameter 12: Film refresh rate, \\(k\_m\\)

Estimate from:

\\\[ k\_m \\sim \\frac{h\_b}{\\rho C\_p \\delta\_{eff}} \\\]

Suppose \\(\\delta\_{eff} = 1.5 \\times 10^{-3}\\ m\\):

\\\[ k\_m \\sim \\frac{235}{1150 \\times 3600 \\times 1.5\\times10^{-3}} \\approx 0.038\\ s^{-1} \\\]

This implies a wall-film refresh time of about:

\\\[ 1/k\_m \\approx 26\\ s \\\]

### Parameter 13: Susceptible concentration, \\(C\_f\\) and \\(C\_b\\)

Use one lumped “burnable precursor concentration” at first.

Suppose:

\\\[ C\_b = 220\\ kg/m^3 \\\]

Assume wall enrichment factor \\(\\alpha\_c = 1.20\\):

\\\[ C\_f = \\alpha\_c C\_b = 264\\ kg/m^3 \\\]

### Parameter 14: Burn kinetics constant, \\(k\_b\\)

Measure using small sealed tubes or a lab reactor at several temperatures, then fit Arrhenius behavior. Example fitted values:

- at 120°C: \\(k\_b = 2.5\\times10^{-4}\\ s^{-1}\\)
- at 125°C: \\(k\_b = 5.3\\times10^{-4}\\ s^{-1}\\)
- at 130°C: \\(k\_b = 1.1\\times10^{-3}\\ s^{-1}\\)

Suppose the fit gives:

\\\[ E\_b = 92\\ kJ/mol, \\qquad k\_{b,0} = 1.4\\times10^9\\ s^{-1} \\\]

### Parameter 15: Activation energy, \\(E\_b\\)

From the Arrhenius plot:

\\\[ \\ln k\_b = \\ln k\_{b,0} - \\frac{E\_b}{R}\\frac{1}{T} \\\]

If the slope is \\(-11070\\):

\\\[ E\_b = 11070 \\times 8.314 \\approx 92,000\\ J/mol = 92\\ kJ/mol \\\]

### Parameter 16: Reaction order, \\(n\\)

Determine by running concentration-series tests at fixed temperature. Suppose the data suggest:

\\\[ n = 1.3 \\\]

### Parameter 17: Burn index, \\(BI\\)

Use the cumulative damage expression:

\\\[ BI = \\int\_0^t k\_b(T\_f)\\left(\\frac{C\_f}{C\_{ref}}\\right)^n dt \\\]

If conditions are constant:

\\\[ BI \\approx k\_b\\left(\\frac{C\_f}{C\_{ref}}\\right)^n t \\\]

Suppose:

- \\(T\_f = 401.12\\ K\\)
- \\(E\_b = 92,000\\ J/mol\\)
- \\(k\_{b,0} = 1.4\\times10^9\\ s^{-1}\\)
- \\(C\_f/C\_{ref} = 1.20\\)
- \\(n = 1.3\\)
- \\(t = 1800\\ s\\)

\\\[ k\_b = 1.4\\times10^9 \\exp\\left(-\\frac{92000}{8.314\\times401.12}\\right) \\approx 1.47\\times10^{-3}\\ s^{-1} \\\]

\\\[ (1.20)^{1.3} \\approx 1.27 \\\]

\\\[ BI \\approx 1.47\\times10^{-3} \\times 1.27 \\times 1800 \\approx 3.36 \\\]

This suggests strong burn risk.

## 4) Full worked example

| Given                                            | Value                                    |
| ------------------------------------------------ | ---------------------------------------- |
| Batch mass                                       | \\(M = 240\\ kg\\)                       |
| Heat capacity                                    | \\(C\_p = 3600\\ J/kg\\cdot K\\)         |
| Heat transfer area                               | \\(A = 3.8\\ m^2\\)                      |
| Bulk temperature                                 | \\(T\_b = 116^\\circ C = 389.15\\ K\\)   |
| Jacket temperature                               | \\(T\_j = 131^\\circ C = 404.15\\ K\\)   |
| Overall heat transfer coefficient                | \\(U = 250\\ W/m^2\\cdot K\\)            |
| Density                                          | \\(\\rho = 1150\\ kg/m^3\\)              |
| Viscosity                                        | \\(\\mu = 0.45\\ Pa\\cdot s\\)           |
| Thermal conductivity                             | \\(k = 0.42\\ W/m\\cdot K\\)             |
| Estimated process-side heat transfer coefficient | \\(h\_b = 235\\ W/m^2\\cdot K\\)         |
| Activation energy                                | \\(E\_b = 92,000\\ J/mol\\)              |
| Pre-exponential factor                           | \\(k\_{b,0} = 1.4\\times10^9\\ s^{-1}\\) |
| Order                                            | \\(n=1.3\\)                              |
| Concentration ratio                              | \\(C\_f/C\_{ref}=1.20\\)                 |
| High-temperature hold                            | 30 min = 1800 s                          |

### Step 1: Heat flux

\\\[ q'' = U(T\_j-T\_b) = 250(404.15-389.15)=3750\\ W/m^2 \\\]

### Step 2: Wall temperature

\\\[ T\_w = T\_b + \\frac{q''}{h\_b}=389.15+\\frac{3750}{235}=405.11\\ K \\\]

\\\[ T\_w = 131.96^\\circ C \\\]

### Step 3: Film temperature

Use \\(\\phi=0.75\\):

\\\[ T\_f = 116+0.75(131.96-116)=127.97^\\circ C \\\]

\\\[ T\_f = 401.12\\ K \\\]

### Step 4: Burn rate constant

\\\[ k\_b = 1.4\\times10^9\\exp\\left(-\\frac{92000}{8.314\\times401.12}\\right) \\approx 1.47\\times10^{-3}\\ s^{-1} \\\]

### Step 5: Concentration factor

\\\[ (1.20)^{1.3} \\approx 1.27 \\\]

### Step 6: Burn index

\\\[ BI = 1.47\\times10^{-3}\\times1.27\\times1800 \\approx 3.36 \\\]

**Interpretation:** high scorch risk.

## 5) Effect of changing one parameter

### Case A: Increase agitation

If better agitation raises \\(h\_b\\) from 235 to 320 W/m²·K:

\\\[ T\_w = 389.15+\\frac{3750}{320}=400.87\\ K \\\]

\\\[ T\_w=127.72^\\circ C \\\]

If \\(\\phi=0.70\\):

\\\[ T\_f=116+0.70(127.72-116)=124.20^\\circ C \\\]

\\\[ T\_f=397.35\\ K \\\]

\\\[ k\_b = 1.4\\times10^9\\exp\\left(-\\frac{92000}{8.314\\times397.35}\\right) \\approx 8.47\\times10^{-4}\\ s^{-1} \\\]

\\\[ BI = 8.47\\times10^{-4}\\times1.27\\times1800 \\approx 1.94 \\\]

### Case B: Lower jacket temperature by 5°C

If \\(T\_j = 126^\\circ C\\) instead of 131°C:

\\\[ q'' = 250(399.15-389.15)=2500\\ W/m^2 \\\]

\\\[ T\_w = 389.15+\\frac{2500}{235}=399.79\\ K = 126.64^\\circ C \\\]

With \\(\\phi=0.75\\):

\\\[ T\_f = 116 + 0.75(126.64-116)=123.98^\\circ C \\\]

Burn risk drops sharply.

### Case C: Reduce hold time

If hold time drops from 30 min to 15 min, then:

\\\[ BI = 3.36/2 = 1.68 \\\]

This may move the batch from burnt to merely over-roasted.

## 6) How to experimentally determine the model in a real flavor lab or plant

- **Step 1:** measure physical properties such as density, heat capacity, viscosity, and thermal conductivity
- **Step 2:** determine heat-transfer behavior using plant heating data to estimate \\(U\\) and then \\(h\_b\\)
- **Step 3:** determine burn kinetics at several temperatures to fit \\(k\_{b,0}\\) and \\(E\_b\\)
- **Step 4:** estimate wall enrichment from reflux, agitation, and deposit comparisons
- **Step 5:** back-fit a useful \\(BI\\) threshold from plant no-burn and burn runs

## 7) What parameters are hardest to determine?

- **Hard engineering parameters:** \\(h\_b\\), \\(k\_m\\), and direct \\(T\_f\\)
- **Hard chemistry parameters:** \\(k\_{b,0}\\), \\(E\_b\\), and how to define burnable precursor concentration

That is why most plants begin with a semi-empirical calibrated model rather than a purely theoretical one.

## 8) Best practical way to start

Measure directly: \\(T\_b\\), \\(T\_j\\), time, rpm, viscosity, and batch mass. Estimate: \\(U\\), \\(h\_b\\), and \\(T\_f\\). Determine experimentally: \\(E\_b\\), \\(k\_{b,0}\\), and the critical \\(BI\\) threshold.

## 9) Practical summary table

| Parameter      | Meaning                      | How to determine                       | Example                       |
| -------------- | ---------------------------- | -------------------------------------- | ----------------------------- |
| \\(T\_b\\)     | bulk temp                    | RTD / thermocouple                     | 116°C                         |
| \\(T\_j\\)     | jacket temp                  | utility inlet/outlet                   | 131°C                         |
| \\(U\\)        | overall heat transfer        | plant heat-up data                     | 250 W/m²·K                    |
| \\(q''\\)      | heat flux                    | \\(U(T\_j-T\_b)\\)                     | 3750 W/m²                     |
| \\(h\_b\\)     | process-side HT coefficient  | Nusselt correlation / calibration      | 235 W/m²·K                    |
| \\(T\_w\\)     | wall temp                    | \\(T\_b+q''/h\_b\\)                    | 132°C                         |
| \\(T\_f\\)     | wall-film temp               | wall-factor or film model              | 128°C                         |
| \\(\\rho\\)    | density                      | density cup / pycnometer               | 1150 kg/m³                    |
| \\(C\_p\\)     | heat capacity                | DSC / estimate                         | 3.6 kJ/kg·K                   |
| \\(k\\)        | thermal conductivity         | meter / literature                     | 0.42 W/m·K                    |
| \\(\\mu\\)     | viscosity                    | Brookfield / rheometer                 | 0.45 Pa·s                     |
| \\(C\_f\\)     | wall precursor concentration | bulk concentration × enrichment factor | 1.2× bulk                     |
| \\(E\_b\\)     | activation energy            | Arrhenius fit                          | 92 kJ/mol                     |
| \\(k\_{b,0}\\) | pre-exponential factor       | Arrhenius fit                          | \\(1.4\\times10^9\\ s^{-1}\\) |
| \\(n\\)        | concentration dependence     | concentration-series kinetics          | 1.3                           |
| \\(BI\\)       | cumulative burn score        | integrate over time                    | 3.36                          |

## 10) Main lesson

For roasted onion reaction flavors, burn risk is not controlled by bulk temperature alone. It is driven by wall-film temperature, viscosity increase, sulfur precursor concentration near the wall, time at high temperature, and mixing strength. Two batches at the same 116°C bulk temperature can behave very differently because \\(T\_f\\), \\(h\_b\\), \\(k\_m\\), and hold time differ.